The Signal

Fed Minutes Data Suggests March Hike Unlikely

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

Nearly every news article covering today’s FOMC minutes focused on the possibility of a rate hike “fairly soon.” Despite the Read More

Not-So-Cheap Talk: Stocks Move Nearly 10% When Trump’s Tweets Mention Executives

Friday, January 20, 2017

Despite what the financial press might want you to believe, Trump’s tweets about specific companies only result in 0.3% Cumulative Above Average Return Read More

FOMC Minutes Continue Hawkish Fed Trend | MACRO MINUTES

Wednesday, January 4, 2017

Welcome to The Signal’s “Macro Minutes”, in which we analyze the most important communications from a specific region and provide Read More

Fed Hikes, Stays Hawkish | MACRO MINUTES

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Welcome to The Signal’s weekly “Macro Minutes.” Each week, we analyze the most important communications from a specific region and Read More

Prattle CTO Bill MacMillan on Building 21st Century Data

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Tell us about your background. I feel like my background is–in a sense–pretty straight ahead. I got my undergrad at Read More

Prattle Perfectly Predicts the BOJ Decision | MACRO MINUTES

Thursday, November 3, 2016

Welcome to The Signal’s weekly “Macro Minutes.” Each week, we analyze the most important communications from a specific region and Read More

Fed Minutes Make December Near Certain | MACRO MINUTES

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Welcome to The Signal’s weekly “Macro Minutes.” Each week, we analyze the most important communications from a specific region and Read More

The RBA’s Dovish Hold | MACRO MINUTES

Friday, October 7, 2016

Welcome to The Signal’s weekly “Macro Minutes.” Each week, we analyze the most important communications from a specific region and Read More

September 2016 | PRATTLE REPORT

Thursday, September 29, 2016

Welcome to the Monthly Report. This report breaks down our forecasts from the last month. Readers should note that Prattle’s Read More

Ahead of the Curve | Prattle Data Anticipates Rate Expectations

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Plotted alongside Bloomberg’s World Interest Rate Probability function* (WIRP), Prattle’s Fed speaker data** quantitatively illustrates the effect the Fed’s tone Read More


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